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Alistair Penbroke's avatar

> Because a lack of decent bauxite isn’t a problem humanity’s going to face for many tens of thousands of years. But, you know. But that headline does stand. China’s the most free market - in the viciously competitive meaning - economy on the planet right now.

I normally agree with everything you write, but this appears to be a non-sequitur.

Yes, if two societies are equal in all respects except how regulated they are, then one can be said to be more free market. But that isn't the case here. It's possible to be 100% non-free market, 100% regulated and still build things faster than in a much more free market society. The Soviets were famous for how fast they industrialized a previously backwards agrarian state; they didn't do it by being free market and they definitely were not freer market than Europe, now or then.

I quote the section above because it seems to get to the nub of the issue. China doesn't impose onerous environment reviews on building industrial plants. Fine. But it also isn't a particularly free market state. In a free market, the fact that nobody actually needs to upgrade low grade bauxite because there's already enough of the high grade stuff available would seem to be quite important! Any old dictatorship can rapidly build factories people don't need. There's nothing impressive about that. The hard part was always building the right factories, at the right time, in the right quantities. And your signoff there doesn't inspire confidence that China is actually doing that.

This is no theoretical concern. China's economy is in the shitter right now because they massively overbuilt housing, but in all the wrong places. Everyone in the 2010s was cooing about how much concrete China was using and now it's full of ghost cities and ghost malls. That's not actually better than not building things fast.

Jim Vinoski's avatar

But now the Chinese own their IP...

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